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Archiver > GENEALOGY-DNA > 2010-11 > 1290263439


From: Al Aburto <>
Subject: Re: [DNA] Odds Are, It's Wrong - 5% of the time
Date: Sat, 20 Nov 2010 06:31:10 -0800
References: <F9C440A2-FC59-4A9E-AAAC-85DEE9D2FAB0@GMAIL.COM>, , ,<COL115-W50D879F102DC3996D9D454A03A0@phx.gbl>, ,<COL118-W33D30F8531A4233CE0ED4EA03A0@phx.gbl>, ,<COL115-W265440F6CAC26EACE7E766A03B0@phx.gbl>,<COL115-W23D43856114A4E81F80053A03B0@phx.gbl>,<4CE7417F.7010909@san.rr.com><COL115-W160024221564BAFED8454CA03B0@phx.gbl>
In-Reply-To: <COL115-W160024221564BAFED8454CA03B0@phx.gbl>


Hi Steven,
Let us both read this web page carefully too so we understand what is
happening because it is tricky:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy ...
Al

> On 11/19/2010 9:00 PM, Steven Bird wrote:
> Read what I wrote, Al. Better yet, look here:
>
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution
>
>
> Good night.
>
>
>> Date: Fri, 19 Nov 2010 19:33:19 -0800
>> From:
>> To:
>> Subject: Re: [DNA] Odds Are, It's Wrong - 5% of the time
>>
>> They are independent events, the odds are the same each time.
>> Losing three times in a row has no bearing on what will happen on the
>> next trial ...


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